New Survey Shows Low Trump Job Approval, Weak National Confidence

October 22, 2020 by Sara Wilkerson
President Donald J. Trump addresses the Republican National Convention at the Charlotte Convention Center in Charlotte, N.C., Monday August, 24, 2020. The GOP convention was scaled back this year because of the coronavirus pandemic. (David T. Foster III/The Charlotte Observer/TNS)

Gallup has released a new survey showing President Trump’s job approval rating at 43.3%, marking one of the lowest approval ratings for an incumbent during his 15th quarter in office. The Gallup poll comes ahead of the last presidential debate this week before the 2020 election between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. The significance of the 15th quarter job approval rating indicates the likelihood of incumbent re-election success.  

According to Gallup, presidents who have job approval ratings closer to 50% have higher chances of re-election. The only presidents in recent memory who have had lower ratings than 50% in their final months of their presidency include former Presidents Jimmy Carter and George H.W Bush, who had 34.5% and 35.2%, respectively. 

In terms of breaking down the job approval rating, 94% of Republicans approve of the president while only 4% of Democrats approve. The 90-point gap between the political parties marks one of the highest partisan division gaps since Gallup first began compiling this type of data in 1953.  

Meanwhile, 35% of independents approve of President Trump’s job performance.  

As President Trump’s job approval rating has remained steady near 40% for the past few months, other mood indicators such as national confidence in the direction the country is going and economic confidence were examined by Gallup. 

Gallup’s September 30-October 15 poll found a slight improvement in national confidence in the direction the country is taking. Since September, national confidence has risen to 19% from 14%. This figure is lower than the historic average of 36%.  

Significantly, Gallup noted that these figures are, “similar to the levels Gallup measured around the time of the 1980 and 1992 presidential elections that saw incumbents Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush defeated for a second term in office.” 

Polled Republicans were the likely reason the national confidence measurement increased, reaching 39% this month. While Republicans have increased national confidence from last month’s 26% satisfaction, independents and Democrats remain dissatisfied, with 14% and 5% satisfaction levels respectively. 

Yet, at the same time, Gallup found that economic confidence has gotten slightly better in conjunction with the national confidence improvement.  

A third of the nation believes that America’s economy is “excellent” or “good”, while 29% rate the economy as “poor.” Interestingly, more Americans (53%) say the economy is getting worse rather than better (42%).  

The Gallup economic confidence index, ranging on a theoretical model from –100 to +100, measures the economy currently at a –4, an improvement from the all-time low of April’s -32 measurement within the past year. The –4 economic confidence index measurement has yet to reach the pre-pandemic index levels of +41.  

On a partisan level, Republicans remain more optimistic than Democrats when it comes to the economy.  Further analysis of the latest Gallup poll can be read on Gallup’s website.

Opinion Polls

AP-NORC Poll: Americans Largely Back Biden's Virus Response
Opinion Polls
AP-NORC Poll: Americans Largely Back Biden's Virus Response

WASHINGTON (AP) — Joe Biden is enjoying an early presidential honeymoon, with 60% of Americans approving of his job performance thus far and even more backing his handling of the coronavirus pandemic, according to a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.... Read More

New Poll Shows Only Half of Americans Eager to Get COVID Vaccine
Opinion Polls
New Poll Shows Only Half of Americans Eager to Get COVID Vaccine
February 19, 2021
by TWN Staff

NEW YORK -- A groundbreaking “Back-to-Normal Barometer” survey for the first time finds that only half of Americans say that they will receive a COVID-19 vaccine once it becomes available for them to receive it. Driving this lack of enthusiasm, 60% of people surveyed don’t believe... Read More

How COVID Has Affected Public Opinion on Higher Education
Opinion Polls
How COVID Has Affected Public Opinion on Higher Education
February 17, 2021
by Kate Michael

WASHINGTON — Attitudes toward American colleges and universities may have started evolving before the pandemic set in, but COVID-19 truly upended the higher ed system in ways that are sure to have an impact for years to come.  Through a series of mid-pandemic public opinion research... Read More

New Poll Suggests Americans Want Congress to Prioritize Healthcare Reforms
Opinion Polls
New Poll Suggests Americans Want Congress to Prioritize Healthcare Reforms
February 8, 2021
by Sara Wilkerson

WASHINGTON - New polling data conducted by Hart Research on behalf of Protect Our Care, a health care advocacy organization, shows that Americans across party lines support healt hcare reforms as the top priority for the Biden administration. The same poll also shows that voters support... Read More

Monmouth Poll Finds Majority Support Trump Impeachment, Voter Fraud Beliefs Persist
Opinion Polls
Monmouth Poll Finds Majority Support Trump Impeachment, Voter Fraud Beliefs Persist
January 26, 2021
by Reece Nations

WEST LONG BRANCH, N.J. — Polling data from Monmouth University found that 56% of Americans approve of the House of Representatives impeaching former President Donald Trump for his role in inciting a violent mob to storm the United States Capitol.  Public support for Trump’s second impeachment... Read More

Americans More Likely to View Government Leadership, Lack of Unity as Nation’s Primary Concern
Opinion Polls
Americans More Likely to View Government Leadership, Lack of Unity as Nation’s Primary Concern
January 25, 2021
by Reece Nations

WASHINGTON — Americans were more likely to designate the lack of government leadership and unity as the nation’s primary issue this month, according to polling analysis from Gallup.  Tensions stoked by a contentious presidential transition, the impeachment of former President Donald Trump in the House of... Read More

News From The Well
scroll top