New Survey Shows Low Trump Job Approval, Weak National Confidence

October 22, 2020 by Sara Wilkerson
President Donald J. Trump addresses the Republican National Convention at the Charlotte Convention Center in Charlotte, N.C., Monday August, 24, 2020. The GOP convention was scaled back this year because of the coronavirus pandemic. (David T. Foster III/The Charlotte Observer/TNS)

Gallup has released a new survey showing President Trump’s job approval rating at 43.3%, marking one of the lowest approval ratings for an incumbent during his 15th quarter in office. The Gallup poll comes ahead of the last presidential debate this week before the 2020 election between President Donald Trump and former Vice President Joe Biden. The significance of the 15th quarter job approval rating indicates the likelihood of incumbent re-election success.  

According to Gallup, presidents who have job approval ratings closer to 50% have higher chances of re-election. The only presidents in recent memory who have had lower ratings than 50% in their final months of their presidency include former Presidents Jimmy Carter and George H.W Bush, who had 34.5% and 35.2%, respectively. 

In terms of breaking down the job approval rating, 94% of Republicans approve of the president while only 4% of Democrats approve. The 90-point gap between the political parties marks one of the highest partisan division gaps since Gallup first began compiling this type of data in 1953.  

Meanwhile, 35% of independents approve of President Trump’s job performance.  

As President Trump’s job approval rating has remained steady near 40% for the past few months, other mood indicators such as national confidence in the direction the country is going and economic confidence were examined by Gallup. 

Gallup’s September 30-October 15 poll found a slight improvement in national confidence in the direction the country is taking. Since September, national confidence has risen to 19% from 14%. This figure is lower than the historic average of 36%.  

Significantly, Gallup noted that these figures are, “similar to the levels Gallup measured around the time of the 1980 and 1992 presidential elections that saw incumbents Jimmy Carter and George H.W. Bush defeated for a second term in office.” 

Polled Republicans were the likely reason the national confidence measurement increased, reaching 39% this month. While Republicans have increased national confidence from last month’s 26% satisfaction, independents and Democrats remain dissatisfied, with 14% and 5% satisfaction levels respectively. 

Yet, at the same time, Gallup found that economic confidence has gotten slightly better in conjunction with the national confidence improvement.  

A third of the nation believes that America’s economy is “excellent” or “good”, while 29% rate the economy as “poor.” Interestingly, more Americans (53%) say the economy is getting worse rather than better (42%).  

The Gallup economic confidence index, ranging on a theoretical model from –100 to +100, measures the economy currently at a –4, an improvement from the all-time low of April’s -32 measurement within the past year. The –4 economic confidence index measurement has yet to reach the pre-pandemic index levels of +41.  

On a partisan level, Republicans remain more optimistic than Democrats when it comes to the economy.  Further analysis of the latest Gallup poll can be read on Gallup’s website.

Opinion Polls

Poll: As Trump Attacks Election Outcome, Americans are Less Confident in the Vote Count
Opinion Polls
Poll: As Trump Attacks Election Outcome, Americans are Less Confident in the Vote Count

President Donald Trump's repeated — and baseless — insistence that widespread fraud undermined this month's presidential election has left a mark on Americans' faith in the voting process, a postelection USC Dornsife survey has found. Using a 0-100 scale to measure their confidence that all ballots were tallied... Read More

Over Half of Americans Still Plan Thanksgiving Travel Amid COVID Concerns, Report Says
Opinion Polls
Over Half of Americans Still Plan Thanksgiving Travel Amid COVID Concerns, Report Says

As health officials warn of the risks of Thanksgiving travel, more than half of Americans still plan to venture away from home, according to a new survey. The website Tripadvisor says 56% of people intend to take trips for the holiday this year, despite the coronavirus pandemic, a... Read More

Now More Than Ever We Need Science, Not Politics
Opinions
Now More Than Ever We Need Science, Not Politics

The global COVID-19 pandemic, with all its devastating consequences, has reaffirmed why science must be at the center of policy considerations, political debate, and media attention. But, lamentably, it is often at the center for all the wrong reasons. Against a backdrop of growing tensions and... Read More

New Survey Suggests Americans are Sleeping Less and Drinking More
Opinion Polls
New Survey Suggests Americans are Sleeping Less and Drinking More
November 3, 2020
by Sara Wilkerson

A new survey conducted by ValuePenguin, a data-based personal finance research company, shows that more than a quarter of Americans are getting less sleep and that 1 in 5 are drinking more alcohol as a result of the COVID-19 pandemic. More than 2,000 Americans were surveyed... Read More

Joe Biden Leads President Trump by Double Digits Nationally, USC Poll Suggests
Opinion Polls
Joe Biden Leads President Trump by Double Digits Nationally, USC Poll Suggests

WASHINGTON — President Donald Trump heads into the final, frenetic 48 hours of campaign 2020 having lost ground among key groups that powered his drive to the presidency four years ago, the final USC Dornsife poll of the election shows. Former Vice President Joe Biden leads Trump by double digits nationally... Read More

New Marquette Poll Finds Biden Lead Over Trump Stable at Five Percentage Points
Opinion Polls
New Marquette Poll Finds Biden Lead Over Trump Stable at Five Percentage Points
October 28, 2020
by Dan McCue

The last Marquette Law School poll to be released before Election Day finds former Vice President Joe Biden the choice of 48% of likely voters in Wisconsin, with President Donald Trump trailing with the support of just 43% of likely voters. The poll found 7% of... Read More

News From The Well
scroll top