New Poll Finds Race for Democratic Nomination in Pennsylvania is Tightening
Former Vice President Joe Biden continues to be the top choice for president among Pennsylvania voters, a new Franklin & Marshall College Poll finds, but the race for the Democratic nomination is tightening.
At the same time, the poll released Wednesday found that nearly three-out-of-five voters in the state don’t believe President Donald Trump deserves re-election — which is actually an improvement for him in the polls.
In January, the college’s pollsters found that 57% of Pennsylvanians don’t believe Trump deserves re-election, but that’s down from 59% in October and 61% in July.
As for the Democrats, the poll still has Biden out front, but his support has slipped to 22%, down from 30% in October.
Support for Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., is also on the wane, down from 17% to 14%, putting her in third place.
Sen. Bernie Sanders, with support from 15% of the respondents, came in second, while former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg is now in fourth place with the support of 7% of Pennsylvania Democrats.
Bloomberg hadn’t announced his candidacy in October and did not figure in that poll.
His showing puts him ahead of Pete Buttigieg (6%), Amy Klobuchar (5%) and Andrew Yang (5%).
Competition among the top three Democratic candidates is driven by ideology. Three in four Sanders (72%) and Warren (73%) supporters identify as liberal, compared to only one in two (40%) Biden supporters.
Democrats continue to say that healthcare (20%) is the top issue they are considering in selecting a presidential candidate and that honesty (42%) is the quality they most want in a candidate.
Pennsylvania voters told pollsters they are generally satisfied with the direction of the state and their personal finances.
Half (51%) of the state’s registered voters believe the state is “headed in the right direction.” Most voters report they are “better off” (33%) or the “same” (54%) financially compared to last year and most expect to be “better off” (31%) or the “same” (53%) next year—these economic sentiments are slightly more optimistic than those captured during the October poll.
Contrasting with their feelings about their home state, fewer (38%) registered voters believe that the United States is “headed in the right direction.”
About two in five (38%) registered voters in Pennsylvania believes President Trump is doing an “excellent” or “good” job as president, which is higher than the October Franklin & Marshall College Poll.
Nearly two-thirds (67%) of the state’s registered voters say they are “very interested” in the 2020 elections; interest in the general election is already as high as it was immediately prior to the 2018 mid-term election.
This survey reflects interviews with 628 Pennsylvania registered voters, including 292 Democrats, 251 Republicans and 85 independents, conducted by the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College from January 20-26, 2020.
The sample error for this survey is +/- 6.2 percentage points (+/- 9.0 percent for registered Democrats). A complete methodological statement can be found in the full report.
In The News
NEW YORK -- A groundbreaking “Back-to-Normal Barometer” survey for the first time finds that only half of Americans say that they will receive a COVID-19 vaccine once it becomes available for them to receive it. Driving this lack of enthusiasm, 60% of people surveyed don’t believe... Read More
WASHINGTON — Attitudes toward American colleges and universities may have started evolving before the pandemic set in, but COVID-19 truly upended the higher ed system in ways that are sure to have an impact for years to come. Through a series of mid-pandemic public opinion research... Read More
WASHINGTON - New polling data conducted by Hart Research on behalf of Protect Our Care, a health care advocacy organization, shows that Americans across party lines support healt hcare reforms as the top priority for the Biden administration. The same poll also shows that voters support... Read More
WEST LONG BRANCH, N.J. — Polling data from Monmouth University found that 56% of Americans approve of the House of Representatives impeaching former President Donald Trump for his role in inciting a violent mob to storm the United States Capitol. Public support for Trump’s second impeachment... Read More
WASHINGTON — Americans were more likely to designate the lack of government leadership and unity as the nation’s primary issue this month, according to polling analysis from Gallup. Tensions stoked by a contentious presidential transition, the impeachment of former President Donald Trump in the House of... Read More
WASHINGTON — A majority of Americans surveyed by Gallup predict the incoming Biden-Harris administration will make improvements to the environment and education while likely raising taxes and the national deficit. Gallup published its findings as part of an ongoing series of “public opinion surveys designed to... Read More