Battleground States Voters Age 50 and Over Still Closely Divided on Election

September 10, 2020 by Reece Nations
American democracy on display in the Smithsonian Museum of American History. (Photo by Dan McCue)

Two sets of public opinion surveys commissioned by AARP across 11 key battleground states found a majority of likely voters aged 50 and older plan to cast their ballots either absentee or during the early voting period this election cycle.

AARP’s poll also found similar levels of support among likely voters in the 50-plus demographic for the candidates, former Vice President Joe Biden and incumbent President Donald Trump. The voters were contacted and surveyed “in the days leading up to and after Labor Day” and asked “who they would select for president if the election were held then.”

Voters were surveyed by AARP in the following states: Arizona; Colorado; Georgia; Florida; Iowa; Maine; Michigan; Montana; North Carolina; Pennsylvania and Wisconsin.

Most likely voters in all 11 of the states indicated they were not planning on casting their ballot on election day. Respondents said they “plan to vote either via absentee ballot or in person during the early voting period” 75% of the time in Arizona, 61% in Florida and North Carolina, and 59% in Michigan.

Concerns regarding reductions to U.S. Postal Service operations persist among a majority of voters in Colorado, Georgia, Iowa, Maine and Montana. The respondents indicated they worried USPS service reductions might “prevent their votes from being counted in November.”

“If you look at historical trends, this is a big shift in how people are going to vote,” John Hishta, AARP’s senior vice president of campaigns, said in a statement. “When candidates address constituencies like ours, they need to do it now because people are already starting to vote.”

Biden is ahead of Trump 50% to 46%, respectively, among voters over age 50 in Pennsylvania, according to AARP. President Trump leads among voters aged 50 and older in Florida by a margin of 50% to 47%, 48% to 46% in Iowa, and 48% to 47% in Montana.

Biden’s lead margins were highest among Colorado and Maine voters, at 50% to 40% and 54% to 40%, respectively. Biden also leads in the 50-plus demographic 50% to 46% in Wisconsin, a key battleground state won by Trump in 2016.

Trump’s largest lead margin among all likely voters was 50% to 43% in Montana, according to the poll. Biden and Trump are virtually tied among all likely voters in North Carolina, Georgia and Arizona.

“The election will be decided in a handful of battleground states, and AARP’s survey results show that either candidate can win,” Nancy LeaMond, AARP executive vice president and chief advocacy and engagement officer, said in a statement. “One thing that isn’t in doubt is that 50+ voters will cast the majority of ballots. So, candidates need to address their concerns if they want to get across the goal line.”

In The News

Health

Voting

Opinion Polls

AP-NORC Poll: Biden Approval Buoyed by His Pandemic Response
Opinion Polls
AP-NORC Poll: Biden Approval Buoyed by His Pandemic Response

WASHINGTON (AP) — President Joe Biden is plunging into the next phase of his administration with the steady approval of a majority of Americans, according to a new poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research. The survey shows Biden is buoyed in particular... Read More

TWN Readers: Pace of Vaccinations Tops Biden's Accomplishments in First 100 Days
Opinion Polls
TWN Readers: Pace of Vaccinations Tops Biden's Accomplishments in First 100 Days
April 26, 2021
by Dan McCue

WASHINGTON - President Joe Biden entered the White House promising that by the time his first 100 days in office had elapsed, at least 100 million COVID-19 vaccines  would be administered. As of Sunday, four days shy of Biden’s 100-day landmark, 290,692,005 doses of the vaccine... Read More

Poll Finds Strong Support for Colleges, Universities, Mandating COVID Vaccines
Opinion Polls
Poll Finds Strong Support for Colleges, Universities, Mandating COVID Vaccines
April 23, 2021
by TWN Staff

WASHINGTON - Nearly 70% of Americans agree with universities and colleges mandating all staff and students be vaccinated for COVID-19 before they resume face-to-face operations, a new, Back-to-Normal Barometer survey has found. The survey asked respondents whether they agreed or disagreed with the statement: I support... Read More

Study Finds People Want More Than Watchdogs for Journalists
Opinion Polls
Study Finds People Want More Than Watchdogs for Journalists

NEW YORK (AP) — A study of the public's attitude toward the press reveals that distrust goes deeper than partisanship and down to how journalists define their very mission. In short: Americans want more than a watchdog. The study, released Wednesday by the Media Insight Project,... Read More

Pollsters Look to Fix Flaws After 2020 Surprises
In The News
Pollsters Look to Fix Flaws After 2020 Surprises
March 25, 2021
by Kate Michael

WASHINGTON — The polling industry required an audit after the 2020 election. Poll results overstated Joe Biden’s lead over Donald Trump in the national vote for president by so much that analysts suggested: “the polling industry is a wreck, and should be blown up." Yet in... Read More

‘K-Shaped’ COVID-19 Recovery Deepens Economic Disparity
Opinion Polls
‘K-Shaped’ COVID-19 Recovery Deepens Economic Disparity
March 16, 2021
by Reece Nations

While the onset of the novel coronavirus pandemic has had drastic ramifications for the United States’ economy, its toll has been unevenly harsh for the country’s poorest citizens.  Following a recession, a “K-shaped recovery” occurs when different segments of the economy recuperate at different rates, times,... Read More

News From The Well
scroll top