Stock Market Today: Worse Inflation Data Hits Wall Street, and Dow Drops 400 Points

February 12, 2025by Stan Choe, Associated Press
Stock Market Today: Worse Inflation Data Hits Wall Street, and Dow Drops 400 Points
Trader Jonathan Mueller works on the floor of the New York Stock Exchange, Tuesday, Feb. 4, 2025. (AP Photo/Richard Drew, file)

NEW YORK (AP) — U.S. stocks are sinking Wednesday after a report said inflation is unexpectedly getting worse for Americans, before even the first of President Donald Trump ’s tariffs had a chance to raise prices for imports.

The S&P 500 was 0.9% lower in early trading. The Dow Jones Industrial Average was down 418 points, or 0.9%, as of 9:35 a.m. Eastern time, and the Nasdaq composite was 0.8% lower. The pain on Wall Street was widespread, and everything from AI darling Nvidia to staid utilities like Duke Energy to bitcoin fell.

Treasury yields also climbed in the bond market, cranking up the pressure on financial markets after a report said U.S. consumers had to pay prices for eggs, gasoline and other costs of living that were 3% higher overall in January than a year earlier. That was worse than the 2.9% inflation rate of December, which is what economists expected to see again.

The inflation report suggests not only that pressure on U.S. households’ budgets is amplifying but also that traders on Wall Street were correct to forecast the Federal Reserve will deliver less relief for Americans through lower interest rates this year.

The Fed had cut its main interest rate sharply from September through the end of last year, moves that try to make borrowing cheaper, help the economy and boost prices for stocks, bonds and other investments. But the Fed warned at the end of 2024 that it may not cut rates by as much in 2025 as it had earlier expected because of worries about inflation staying stubbornly high. Its goal is to keep inflation at 2%, and lower rates can give inflation more fuel.

Some investors were betting on the Fed not cutting rates at all in 2025, even before Wednesday’s report on the consumer price index, or CPI.

“The hotter than expected CPI confirms investors’ anxiety regarding too-hot inflation that will keep the Fed on the sidelines,” said Sameer Samana, head of global equities and real assets at Wells Fargo Investment Institute. And January’s reading doesn’t account for any of the tariffs that Trump has recently announced, which economists say should push up prices on imports from China and anything made with steel or aluminum.

Those “will make their impact felt later in the year,” Samana said.

Following January’s discouraging inflation data, traders are betting on a 28% chance that the Fed will not cut rates at all this year, according to data from CME Group. That’s up from a less than 20% chance seen the day before.

Such expectations sent the yield on the two-year Treasury up to 4.34% from 4.29% late Tuesday. The 10-year Treasury yield, which also takes longer-term economic growth and other factors into consideration, jumped even more sharply. It rose to 4.63% from 4.54%.

When a 10-year Treasury, which is seen as one of the safest investments possible, is paying that much in interest, investors are less likely to pay high prices for stocks, which carry a higher risk of seeing their prices go to zero. That puts downward pressure on a stock market that critics say already looks to expensive after running to repeated records last year, with the latest coming late last month.

One of the few ways companies have to counteract such pressure is to deliver stronger profits.

CVS Health did just that, and its stock jumped 12.9% after topping Wall Street’s modest sales and profit expectations for the latest quarter.

But even doing that isn’t always enough. Ride-hailing app Lyft tumbled to a 10% loss despite reporting stronger profits that Wall Street expected. Lyft’s revenue fell short of forecasts as higher prices for rides weighed on bookings, the company said.

Shares of Frontier Group Holdings, the parent company of Frontier Airlines, lost 1.6% after Spirit Airlines rejected a third takeover bid from the budget rival. Spirit said that it would focus on its own plan to emerge from bankruptcy and stabilize its finances.

In stock markets abroad, indexes were mixed in Europe after finishing mostly higher in Asia.

___

AP Business Writers Matt Ott and Yuri Kageyama contributed.

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