South Carolina Senate Race Between Lindsey Graham, Jaime Harrison Now a Toss-Up
COLUMBIA, S.C. — Days before the second debate between Republican Sen. Lindsey Graham and his Democratic challenger Jaime Harrison on Friday, one political prognosticator has shifted the race to a toss-up.
The ratings change away from “Lean Republican,” from the Cook Political Report, comes less than a month before the election.
“There has been no more surprising race on the Senate map than South Carolina,” wrote Jessica Taylor, the Senate and Governors editor for the Cook Political Report, citing the enormous amount of cash flowing into the race to influence voters.
Saturday evening, during the first hourlong debate, Harrison’s campaign touted raising $125,000 during the broadcast. The amount ballooned to $1.1 million by Sunday, his campaign said.
In Cook’s rating, the publication notes Harrison and allies have spent $68 million trying to flip the seat blue. Graham and his allies have spent $37 million defending the seat.
Those amounts include ad buys by Republican and Democratic super PACs, and other outside groups.
Both Graham and Harrison are regulars on the cable news networks with now both of them plugging their websites to solicit contributions to their campaigns.
In its analysis, the Cook Political report also notes the latest Quinnipiac Poll, which has the race tied at 48% and shows Harrison with a higher favorable rating than Graham. That poll is not an anomaly — three of the six polls since September have shown Harrison within one point of Graham, and two of them show him tied. One poll conducted by Cornell Belcher even had Harrison leading by two points.
Political forecaster FiveThirtyEight still gives Graham a 76% chance at winning the election. Sabato’s Crystal Ball has the race as “Leans Republican” calling Graham the favorite.
Quinnipiac also shows President Donald Trump with a one-point lead over former Vice President Joe Biden in South Carolina, a reliably Republican state.
“Ultimately, this race has earned a more competitive rating — underscoring just how fast the GOP (Senate) majority is slipping away if they have to defend turf like this, and also how much Trump’s numbers have fallen across the board,” Taylor wrote.
©2020 The State (Columbia, S.C.)
Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.
In The News
WASHINGTON - A bipartisan bill to extend the Paycheck Protection Program to May 31 is gaining support in the House and the Senate and will likely be voted on before lawmakers head back to their districts at the end of the month. The proposal to extend... Read More
WASHINGTON - It’s hard to believe it’s almost that time of year again, but on Monday came word that the peak bloom for the cherry blossoms ringing the Tidal Basin in Washington is currently expected to occur April 2-5. That means the most vivid of blooms... Read More
LANSING, Mich. (AP) — Josh Venable, a longtime Michigan GOP operative and chief of staff to former U.S. Education Secretary Betsy DeVos, can trace the arc of the state's Republican Party clearly."This was the state where to be Republican was defined by Gerald Ford and George... Read More
NEW YORK (AP) — Manhattan District Attorney Cyrus R. Vance Jr. fought for a year and a half to get access to former President Donald Trump's tax records.Now, thanks to a U.S. Supreme Court ruling, he will soon have them. But what will that mean for... Read More
FLAGSTAFF, Ariz. (AP) — For Native Americans, Deb Haaland is more than an elected official on track to become the first Indigenous secretary of the Interior Department. She is a sister, an auntie and a fierce pueblo woman whose political stances have been molded by her... Read More
RICHMOND, Va. - Virginia lawmakers gave final approval Monday to a bill that will end capital punishment in the Commonwealth. The legislation now heads to Democratic Gov. Ralph Northam, who has said he will sign it into law, making Virginia the 23rd state to stop executions.... Read More