Poll Finds Economy Not Giving Trump Edge in Pennsylvania, Biden Romps

May 16, 2019 by Dan McCue

Pennsylvania voters say they’re better off financially than they were in 2016, but the strong economy is not helping President Donald Trump in the Keystone State where Democrat Joe Biden leads the incumbent Republican by double digits, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll.

Asked their preference in a head-to-head matchup between Trump and the former vice president, Biden enjoys a 53-42 percent lead, the independent poll released Wednesday found.

University pollsters also found a wide gender gap, with women backing Biden, 60-36 percent, and men backing Trump, 49-45 percent, although that number is well within the poll’s +/- 6.2 percentage point margin of error.  

White voters are about evenly divided between the two candidates, though leaning to Biden, 49-45 percent, but non-White voters are overwhelmingly backing the Democrat, 70-27 percent.

In terms of partisan support, Trump leads Biden 90-7 percent among Republicans, while Biden leads Trump 93-6 percent among Democrats.

Tellingly, however, Biden also enjoys a double-digit, 51-37 percent among independent voters.

The poll also shows Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders, Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren, and South Bend Mayor Pete Buttigieg with an edge over Trump, though Sanders is the only candidate, at 50-43 percent, with a lead outside of the poll’s margin of error.

The poll found Senator Kamala Harris of California in a statistical dead heat with the president, both garnering the support of 45 percent of the Pennsylvania electorate, while showing Trump ahead of former U.S. Representative Beto O’Rourke, 46-44 percent.

Mary Snow, polling analyst for the Quinnipiac University Poll, said a critical factor in Biden’s strong showing is that whether they back him or not “more than 60 percent believe he has the best chance of defeating Trump in 2020.”

Despite 54 percent of Pennsylvania voters saying they’re better off financially than they were in 2016, and 71 percent saying the state’s economy is “excellent” or “great,” Trump got a failing grade from every group by men.

Over 54 percent of Pennsylvania voters disapprove of the job Trump is doing as president.  Seventy-four percent of non-white voters gave a thumb down to the president’s job performance, as did 49 percent of white voters.

Sixty-two percent of women said they disapprove of the job Trump is doing, but 51 percent of men said they think the president is doing a fine job.

As for the Pennsylvania Democratic primary, Biden leads the field at 39 percent, with Sanders second at 13 percent, Harris and Warren at 8 percent each, Buttigieg at 6 percent and Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey at 5 percent.

No other Democratic candidate tops 2 percent.

The survey was conducted by Quinnipiac University May 9-14 and includes input from 978 Pennsylvania voters.

2020 Elections

Kansas’ Kobach Is Weighing a Senate Bid. National Republicans Are Ready to Stop Him 2020 Elections
Kansas’ Kobach Is Weighing a Senate Bid. National Republicans Are Ready to Stop Him

WASHINGTON — National Republicans are prepared to intervene in the Kansas Senate primary to ensure that conservative firebrand Kris Kobach does not win the party’s nomination should he run, multiple sources told the Kansas City Star. Kobach said this month that he is still “actively considering”... Read More

How Obamacare, Medicare and ‘Medicare for All’ Muddy the Campaign Trail 2020 Elections
How Obamacare, Medicare and ‘Medicare for All’ Muddy the Campaign Trail

The health care debate has Democrats on Capitol Hill and the presidential campaign trail facing renewed pressure to make clear where they stand: Are they for “Medicare for All”? Or will they take up the push to protect the Affordable Care Act? Obamacare advocates have found... Read More

New Far-Reaching Abortion Bans Too Extreme for Some Republican Leaders Political News
New Far-Reaching Abortion Bans Too Extreme for Some Republican Leaders

WASHINGTON — Republican leaders have begun distancing themselves from new, far-reaching state abortion restrictions that don’t allow exceptions in the cases of rape or incest. “I believe in exceptions for rape, incest and life of the mother, and that’s what I’ve voted on,” House Minority Leader... Read More

Poll Finds Economy Not Giving Trump Edge in Pennsylvania, Biden Romps 2020 Elections
Poll Finds Economy Not Giving Trump Edge in Pennsylvania, Biden Romps
May 16, 2019
by Dan McCue

Pennsylvania voters say they're better off financially than they were in 2016, but the strong economy is not helping President Donald Trump in the Keystone State where Democrat Joe Biden leads the incumbent Republican by double digits, according to a new Quinnipiac University poll. Asked their... Read More

New Yorkers Say 'Whoa No,' But De Blasio Enters Presidential Race Anyway Political News
New Yorkers Say 'Whoa No,' But De Blasio Enters Presidential Race Anyway
May 16, 2019
by Dan McCue

A recent Quinnipiac University poll found three-out-of-four New Yorkers are against it, but that didn't deter New York City Mayor Bill de Blasio for launching a bid for the 2020 Democratic presidential nomination on Thursday. De Blasio officially announced his candidacy on ABC-TV's  "Good Morning America"... Read More

Florida Is Key to Trump’s Campaign Strategy — Again 2020 Elections
Florida Is Key to Trump’s Campaign Strategy — Again

PANAMA CITY BEACH, Fla. — Democrats hoped to score major wins in Florida in 2018, with an influx of new voters from Puerto Rico fuming over President Donald Trump’s tepid response to a ravaging hurricane and a diverse Latino population alarmed at his polarizing immigration policies.... Read More

Straight From The Well
scroll top