Pennsylvania Voters Think Trump is Bungling the Coronavirus Pandemic, New Poll Says

July 31, 2020by Chris Brennan, The Philadelphia Inquirer (TNS)
The presumptive Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden walks on to stage as he speaks at McGregor Industries on July 9, 2020 in Dunmore, Pennsylvania. The former vice president, who grew up in nearby Scranton, toured a metal works plant in Dunmore in northeastern Pennsylvania and spoke about his economic recovery plan. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images/TNS)

PHILADELPHIA — A predictable downturn in the mood of Pennsylvania voters amid the coronavirus pandemic and a slumping economy spells trouble for President Donald Trump’s reelection campaign, according to a new poll.

And former Vice President Joe Biden benefits: The Franklin & Marshall College poll released Thursday finds him leading Trump 50% to 41% among registered voters in the state.

Trump’s personal favorability and job-performance ratings haven’t shifted much since the last F&M poll in January: 42% have a strongly or somewhat favorable view of the president, while 56% have a somewhat or strongly unfavorable view. And 38% of voters think Trump is doing an excellent or good job overall, compared with 61% who say he is doing only a fair or poor job — the same split as in the January poll.

But voters are worried. The pandemic leaped to the top of the list of voter concerns, with 32% naming it the most important issue facing the state. Just 29% think Trump is doing an excellent or very good job handling the pandemic and 49% say he is failing. Fourteen% rank Trump’s performance in the crisis as average and 8% see him as below average.

Pollster G. Terry Madonna cites the coronavirus as “one of the principal reasons” Biden holds a lead in the survey.

Concern is also reflected in how people see their personal finances. Just one in five said they are better off than they were a year ago, down from one in three in January.

The poll of 667 voters — 324 Democrats, 271 Republicans, and 72 independents — was conducted from July 20 to Sunday, with a margin of error of plus or minus 5.5 points. It is broadly in line with other recent Pennsylvania surveys that have showed Biden opening up a sizable lead against Trump. An average of Pennsylvania presidential polling compiled by the website Real Clear Politics puts Biden ahead by 6.2 percentage points.

Trump, asked about polling during a visit to North Carolina on Monday, said his campaign had its own surveys that show him leading in Pennsylvania and some other battleground states. His campaign would not release that polling.

Biden gets a boost from the antipathy many voters feel toward Trump. Among Trump supporters, 78% say their vote is about the president, not opposition to Biden. Among Biden supporters, 55% say their vote is more against Trump than for the Democratic contender.

“The hostility to Trump among Democrats is unusually strong,” Madonna said. “I mean, it’s visceral. Trump’s voters are more enthusiastic about voting for him than Biden’s voters” are about him.

The poll also found no third-party candidates stirring interest, unlike in 2016. And Trump is hurting with independent voters, with 62% rating his job performance as fair or poor.

“Most incumbents who won reelection have been 40% or higher among independents,” Madonna said.

Biden has also benefited so far from a lack of public scrutiny in a campaign limited by the pandemic, Madonna said. That’s left the focus all on Trump.

“I’m not saying that Trump can’t win,” said Madonna, noting the Nov. 3 election was still 96 days away. “I’m just saying he’s got his work cut out for him, given this intensive polarization that exists.”

———

©2020 The Philadelphia Inquirer

Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.

Opinion Polls

Americans Expect Biden to Improve Environment, Grow Budget Deficit
Opinion Polls
Americans Expect Biden to Improve Environment, Grow Budget Deficit
January 19, 2021
by Reece Nations

WASHINGTON — A majority of Americans surveyed by Gallup predict the incoming Biden-Harris administration will make improvements to the environment and education while likely raising taxes and the national deficit.  Gallup published its findings as part of an ongoing series of “public opinion surveys designed to... Read More

Competing Coalitions Define GA Senate Races
Opinion Polls
Competing Coalitions Define GA Senate Races

WASHINGTON (AP) — Georgia’s Senate runoff elections were a clash of two closely matched coalitions, with Democrat Raphael Warnock edging out his rival in the one-time Republican stronghold. Warnock and fellow Democrat Jon Ossoff — whose race was still too early to call — relied on... Read More

New Gallup Survey Suggests Americans’ Mental Health is Declining Due to COVID-19
Opinion Polls
New Gallup Survey Suggests Americans’ Mental Health is Declining Due to COVID-19
December 7, 2020
by Sara Wilkerson

A new survey report from Gallup suggests that Americans’ positive outlook on their mental health is on a nine-point decline from last year, a new low point in Gallup’s 20-year history of measuring Americans’ view on their mental health. The Gallup poll was conducted shortly after... Read More

Poll: As Trump Attacks Election Outcome, Americans are Less Confident in the Vote Count
Opinion Polls
Poll: As Trump Attacks Election Outcome, Americans are Less Confident in the Vote Count

President Donald Trump's repeated — and baseless — insistence that widespread fraud undermined this month's presidential election has left a mark on Americans' faith in the voting process, a postelection USC Dornsife survey has found. Using a 0-100 scale to measure their confidence that all ballots were tallied... Read More

Over Half of Americans Still Plan Thanksgiving Travel Amid COVID Concerns, Report Says
Opinion Polls
Over Half of Americans Still Plan Thanksgiving Travel Amid COVID Concerns, Report Says

As health officials warn of the risks of Thanksgiving travel, more than half of Americans still plan to venture away from home, according to a new survey. The website Tripadvisor says 56% of people intend to take trips for the holiday this year, despite the coronavirus pandemic, a... Read More

Now More Than Ever We Need Science, Not Politics
Opinions
Now More Than Ever We Need Science, Not Politics

The global COVID-19 pandemic, with all its devastating consequences, has reaffirmed why science must be at the center of policy considerations, political debate, and media attention. But, lamentably, it is often at the center for all the wrong reasons. Against a backdrop of growing tensions and... Read More

News From The Well
scroll top