Buttigieg Jumps to Second in New Iowa State University/Civiqs Poll
Mayor Pete Buttigieg is building momentum in Iowa, according to an Iowa State University/Civiqs poll released this week.
The poll contains the results of an online survey conducted Oct. 18-22, of 598 likely Democratic Caucus attendees.
It found that 20% of respondents said Buttigieg is their top choice among the field of Democratic presidential candidates.
That moves him to second in the poll – up from fourth in September – just behind Sen. Elizabeth Warren who maintained her lead at 28%.
“You can attribute some of his momentum to basic retail politics,” said Dave Peterson, a professor and Whitaker Lindgren faculty fellow in political science who organized the poll.
“Buttigieg is incredibly well organized and is spending a lot of resources in Iowa. His presence at the Iowa Steak Fry last month was better than any other candidate,” he said.
Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders were tied for second in the September poll. Sanders is now third with 18% and Biden is fourth at 12%.
The poll also asked voters to list the candidate they do not want to win the nomination. Biden and Sanders topped this list. Peterson says Tulsi Gabbard was third, moving from nearly 7% in September to 17%.
The online survey was sent to selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Likely caucus attendees were identified as those who responded they would “definitely” or “probably” attend the Iowa Democratic Caucuses and identified as Democrats or independents.
An oversample of Democrats and independents were selected to produce a larger number of likely caucus attendees.
Demographic data were collected in previous Civiqs surveys. The results for registered voters are weighted by age, race, gender, education, party and congressional district to be representative of registered voters in Iowa.
The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 5%. Results of the next poll are expected in mid-November.
The poll results were a bit of good news in a week that also saw the leak of an internal focus group report that showed Buttigieg failing to gain traction with a key voting bloc in another early voting state, South Carolina.
The 21-page report, conducted by the Benenson Strategy Group with black Democratic South Carolina voters in mid-July was obtained by McClatchy newspapers.
It found that Buttigieg’s “being gay was a barrier for these voters, particularly for the men who seemed deeply uncomfortable even discussing it. … (T)heir preference is for his sexuality to not be front and center.”
After three 90-minute sessions with a total of 24 uncommitted black voters in Columbia, S.C., aged 25 to 65, just one –a woman over 40 –said they were considering voting for Buttigieg. Conversely, all but one said they were considering voting for Joe Biden, described in the report as “the clear and dominant front runner” in the state that holds the fourth Democratic nominating contest.
“It’s hard to underestimate the power of the Obama association with these voters,” the report states.
While the report stated that Buttigieg’s sexuality was not a “disqualifier” for these voters, it also revealed other potential pitfalls for the candidate with these voters, including his relative youth, political inexperience and low name recognition.
“They find it hard to believe that if Barack Obama struggled with Congress, that a young, new face would be able to make progress, especially on issues as tough as racism and inequality,” the report reads.
In The News
WASHINGTON — A new, groundbreaking study suggests not only is there strong bipartisan support for corporate efforts to address environmental,... Read More
WASHINGTON — A new, groundbreaking study suggests not only is there strong bipartisan support for corporate efforts to address environmental, social and governance challenges, but that the bipartisan appeal of these initiatives dramatically increases among Americans under the age of 45. The study, “Unlocking the Bipartisan... Read More
WASHINGTON – Americans’ trust in the news media continues to plummet, dropping four percentage points from last year’s already low... Read More
WASHINGTON – Americans’ trust in the news media continues to plummet, dropping four percentage points from last year’s already low 36%, a new Gallup poll has found. The poll, which was released last week also found the media continues to be a decidedly politically polarizing issue... Read More
Most voters in the district represented by Rep. Marilyn Strickland support fiscal responsibility and want Congress to take a bipartisan... Read More
Most voters in the district represented by Rep. Marilyn Strickland support fiscal responsibility and want Congress to take a bipartisan approach. Fifty-seven percent believe members of Congress need to work across the aisle to deliver results for their constituents versus 37% who believe it is more... Read More
A recent survey in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District found that voters there overwhelmingly agree with Rep. Mikie Sherrill’s fiscally... Read More
A recent survey in New Jersey’s 11th Congressional District found that voters there overwhelmingly agree with Rep. Mikie Sherrill’s fiscally responsible and bipartisan approach to governing, and support her efforts to apply them to solving thorny issues like those surrounding the cost and coverage of their... Read More
More than a third of consumers have pushed back or have considered pushing back their retirement date due to the... Read More
More than a third of consumers have pushed back or have considered pushing back their retirement date due to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to a new report. In response to the pandemic and financial stress, many have also reduced their spending. A survey... Read More
NEW YORK (AP) — Half of American workers are in favor of vaccine requirements at their workplaces, according to a... Read More
NEW YORK (AP) — Half of American workers are in favor of vaccine requirements at their workplaces, according to a new poll, at a time when such mandates gain traction following the federal government's full approval of Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine. The poll from The Associated Press-NORC... Read More