facebook linkedin twitter

Buttigieg Jumps to Second in New Iowa State University/Civiqs Poll

October 25, 2019 by Dan McCue
South Bend, Indiana Mayor and 2020 Democratic candidate Pete Buttigieg packed the Scheman Center on Wednesday, drawing 900 people to his campaign rally in Ames. Photo by David Mullen/The Ames Tribune.

Mayor Pete Buttigieg is building momentum in Iowa, according to an Iowa State University/Civiqs poll released this week.

The university and Civiqs, an online polling company, surveys the same pool of voters each month in the lead up to the Iowa Caucuses to understand how voter preferences are shifting.

The poll contains the results of an online survey conducted Oct. 18-22, of 598 likely Democratic Caucus attendees.

It found that 20% of respondents said Buttigieg is their top choice among the field of Democratic presidential candidates.

That moves him to second in the poll – up from fourth in September – just behind Sen. Elizabeth Warren who maintained her lead at 28%.

“You can attribute some of his momentum to basic retail politics,” said Dave Peterson, a professor and Whitaker Lindgren faculty fellow in political science who organized the poll.

“Buttigieg is incredibly well organized and is spending a lot of resources in Iowa. His presence at the Iowa Steak Fry last month was better than any other candidate,” he said.

Former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Bernie Sanders were tied for second in the September poll. Sanders is now third with 18% and Biden is fourth at 12%.

The poll also asked voters to list the candidate they do not want to win the nomination. Biden and Sanders topped this list. Peterson says Tulsi Gabbard was third, moving from nearly 7% in September to 17%.

The online survey was sent to selected members of the Civiqs research panel. Likely caucus attendees were identified as those who responded they would “definitely” or “probably” attend the Iowa Democratic Caucuses and identified as Democrats or independents.

An oversample of Democrats and independents were selected to produce a larger number of likely caucus attendees. 

Demographic data were collected in previous Civiqs surveys. The results for registered voters are weighted by age, race, gender, education, party and congressional district to be representative of registered voters in Iowa.

The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 5%. Results of the next poll are expected in mid-November.

The poll results were a bit of good news in a week that also saw the leak of an internal focus group report that showed Buttigieg failing to gain traction with a key voting bloc in another early voting state, South Carolina.

The 21-page report, conducted by the Benenson Strategy Group with black Democratic South Carolina voters in mid-July was obtained by McClatchy newspapers.

It found that Buttigieg’s “being gay was a barrier for these voters, particularly for the men who seemed deeply uncomfortable even discussing it. … (T)heir preference is for his sexuality to not be front and center.”

After three 90-minute sessions with a total of 24 uncommitted black voters in Columbia, S.C., aged 25 to 65, just one –a woman over 40 –said they were considering voting for Buttigieg. Conversely, all but one said they were considering voting for Joe Biden, described in the report as “the clear and dominant front runner” in the state that holds the fourth Democratic nominating contest.

“It’s hard to underestimate the power of the Obama association with these voters,” the report states.

While the report stated that Buttigieg’s sexuality was not a “disqualifier” for these voters, it also revealed other potential pitfalls for the candidate with these voters, including his relative youth, political inexperience and low name recognition.

“They find it hard to believe that if Barack Obama struggled with Congress, that a young, new face would be able to make progress, especially on issues as tough as racism and inequality,” the report reads.

Opinion Polls

September 3, 2021
by Daniel Mollenkamp
COVID-19 Has Delayed Retirement For Many Americans

More than a third of consumers have pushed back or have considered pushing back their retirement date due to the... Read More

More than a third of consumers have pushed back or have considered pushing back their retirement date due to the effects of the COVID-19 pandemic, according to a new report. In response to the pandemic and financial stress, many have also reduced their spending. A survey... Read More

Half of US Workers Favor Employee Shot Mandate: AP-NORC poll

NEW YORK (AP) — Half of American workers are in favor of vaccine requirements at their workplaces, according to a... Read More

NEW YORK (AP) — Half of American workers are in favor of vaccine requirements at their workplaces, according to a new poll, at a time when such mandates gain traction following the federal government's full approval of Pfizer's COVID-19 vaccine.  The poll from The Associated Press-NORC... Read More

August 23, 2021
by Dan McCue
Poll: NJ Voters Want a Fiscally Responsible Congress to Tackle True Health Care Concerns

Voters in New Jersey’s 5th Congressional District, a traditional swing or battleground district nestled against the southeast portion of New... Read More

Voters in New Jersey’s 5th Congressional District, a traditional swing or battleground district nestled against the southeast portion of New York State, are united in many key respects when it comes to spending and health care reforms, a recent survey found. Strong majorities want to see... Read More

AP-NORC poll: COVID Anxiety Up, Vaccine Requirements Favored

DENVER (AP) — Anxiety in the United States over COVID-19 is at its highest level since winter, a new poll... Read More

DENVER (AP) — Anxiety in the United States over COVID-19 is at its highest level since winter, a new poll shows, as the delta variant rages, more states and school districts adopt mask and vaccination requirements and the nation's hospitals once again fill to capacity. The... Read More

AP-NORC Poll: Americans Have High Trust in Doctors, Nurses

WASHINGTON (AP) — Most Americans have high trust in doctors, nurses and pharmacists, a new poll finds. Researchers say that... Read More

WASHINGTON (AP) — Most Americans have high trust in doctors, nurses and pharmacists, a new poll finds. Researchers say that trust could become important in the push to increase COVID-19 vaccinations, as long as unvaccinated people have care providers they know and are open to hearing... Read More

July 19, 2021
by TWN Staff
Poll Shows Two-Thirds of Voters Support Investments in Zero-Emission School Buses

The American Lung Association has released new poll results showing that a majority (68%) of American voters – across all... Read More

The American Lung Association has released new poll results showing that a majority (68%) of American voters – across all major demographic groups – support Congress investing in zero-emission school buses for children nationwide. The poll findings are released as Congress considers a major infrastructure package,... Read More

News From The Well
scroll top