New Study Finds 8-in-10 Californians Are Registered to Vote

August 29, 2019 by Dan McCue

Voter registration is up in California, with 8-in-10 eligible adults registered. However, likely voters in the state still tend to be older, well-educated and disproportionately white, according to a study by the Public Policy Institute of California.

The Institute, a non-partisan public policy think tank, found that as of February 2019, 19.9 million of California’s 25.3 million eligible adults were registered to vote.

At 79.1% of eligible adults, this is an increase from the registration rate in 2015 (72.7%), the last year preceding a presidential election.

The share of registered voters who are Democrats (43.1%) is similar to what it was in 2015 (43.2%), while the share of Republicans (23.6%) has declined (28.0%).

At the same time, the share of voters who say they are independent (also known as “decline to state” or “no party preference”) has been increasing and is now 28.3%, up from 23.6% in 2015.

Dean Bonner, a research fellow at the Institute, told The Well News that one thing non-Californians should take away from the report is just how diverse California is.

“Further, while the state is diverse, those who turn out for elections tend to look differently than the general adult population—although that is changing,” he said.

Likely voters

Among likely voters in surveys conducted over the past year, 45% were Democrats, 27% were Republicans, 23% were independents, and 5% were registered with other parties.

Of those we consider infrequent voters, 41% were Democrats, 36% were independents, 20% were Republicans, and 4% were registered with other parties.

Among independent likely voters, 42% said they lean toward the Democratic Party, compared to 31% who lean toward the Republican Party and 26% who volunteer that they lean toward neither major party or were unsure.

Ideologically, 37% of likely voters self identify as  politically liberal, 29% are moderate, and 34% are conservative.

Among infrequent voters, 32% consider themselves liberal, 36% consider themselves moderate, and 32% consider themselves conservative.

White, Older Residents Most Likely to Vote

Whites make up only 42% of California’s adult population but 58% of the state’s likely voters.

In contrast, Latinos comprise 35% of the adult population but just 19% of likely voters. Asian Americans make up 15% of adults and 13% of likely voters, while 6% of both adults and likely voters are African American.

“Other race” and multiracial adults make up 3% of the adult population and 4% of likely voters.

About four in ten (38%) infrequent voters are white, and 35% are Latino. Nearly six in ten unregistered adults are Latino (56%); fewer are white (21%), Asian American (18%), or African American (3%).

When it comes to who California’solder electorate might favor on primary day, Bonner said only time will tell.

However, he also said a survey the Institute released in July might offer some clues.

It found former Vice President Joe Biden doing much better among older than younger likely voters, and Senator Bernie Sanders doing much better among younger than older. Sen. Kamala Harris garnered the most support among the 45 and older group, the study found.

Older, Affluent, and Born in the U.S.A.

Californians ages 55 and older make up 32% of the state’s adult population but constitute 47% of likely voters.

Young adults (ages 18 to 34) make up 33% of adults but only 20% of likely voters, while adults ages 35 to 54 are proportionally represented.

Eight in ten likely voters either have some college education (41%) or are college graduates (41%); 18% have no college education.

Almost half of likely voters (46%) have annual household incomes of $80,000 or more, while 27% earn between $40,000 and $80,000 and 27% earn $40,000 or less.

A strong majority of likely voters (67%) are homeowners, while one-third (33%) are renters.

In contrast, 69% of unregistered adults and 64% of infrequent voters are renters. The vast majority of likely voters (83%) were born in the United States (17% are immigrants). Women (53%) and men (47%) make up similar shares of California’s likely voters.

Regional Distribution

The share of likely voters in each region mirrors the region’s share of the state’s overall adult population:

Los Angeles County (26% of adults, 26% of likely voters);

San Francisco Bay Area (20% of adults, 22% of likely voters);

Orange/San Diego Counties (17% of adults, 17% of likely voters);

Central Valley (17% of adults, 17% of likely voters); and

Inland Empire (11% of adults, 9% of likely voters).

The largest shares of infrequent voters (29%) and unregistered adults (25%) live in Los Angeles County.

This research was supported with funding from the James Irvine Foundation.

State News

Spanberger Secures $1.2 Million for Virginia Health Workforce Development
Spanberger Secures $1.2 Million for Virginia Health Workforce Development
August 10, 2020
by Reece Nations

Rep. Abigail Spanberger, D-Va., announced Monday the acquisition of $1.2 million in federal grant funds for the Virginia Health Workforce Development Authority’s recruitment efforts, continuing education and health care workforce development. The VHWDA grant will be issued to the organization’s network of Area Health Education Centers,... Read More

States Wary of Trump’s Move for Them to Kick in on Federal Aid
States Wary of Trump’s Move for Them to Kick in on Federal Aid

A day after President Donald Trump took executive action to offer $400 per week in supplemental unemployment benefits, including 25% he said should be kicked in from state coffers, governors are pushing back. The leaders of states including New York and Michigan said Trump’s plan ignores... Read More

City of Albany Sponsors Socially Distant Street Fairs All Summer
City of Albany Sponsors Socially Distant Street Fairs All Summer
August 7, 2020
by Sara Wilkerson

ALBANY, N.Y. – The city of Albany has initiated a traveling street fair for residents to socialize at a distance and to learn about local resources. The street fair, called Playstreets, was started last month and its next fair will take place on August 14.  Among... Read More

New York AG Sues to Dissolve National Rifle Association
State News
New York AG Sues to Dissolve National Rifle Association
August 6, 2020
by Gracie Kreth

ALBANY, N.Y. - New York Attorney General Letitia James filed a lawsuit against the National Rifle Association Thursday. The lawsuit calls to dissolve the country’s largest pro-gun organization alleging years of corruption and leadership’s personal use of millions of dollars in donations to the organization. “The... Read More

Inslee Advances in Washington Gubernatorial Primary
Political News
Inslee Advances in Washington Gubernatorial Primary

OLYMPIA, Wash. (AP) — Democratic Gov. Jay Inslee advanced Tuesday in Washington's primary election as he seeks to become the first incumbent elected to a third term in the state in more than 40 years. Inslee was leading decisively in early returns. He’ll face a small-town... Read More

Districts Go Round and Round on School Bus Reopening Plans
Districts Go Round and Round on School Bus Reopening Plans

HARRISBURG, Pa. (AP) — School districts nationwide puzzling over how to safely educate children during a pandemic have a more immediate challenge — getting 26 million bus-riding students there in the first place. Few challenges are proving to be more daunting than figuring out how to... Read More

News From The Well
scroll top