New Poll Finds Race for Democratic Nomination in Pennsylvania is Tightening

January 30, 2020 by Dan McCue
Former Vice President Joe Biden, left, is the top preference of Texas Democrats for president, according to a Texas Lyceum poll released Wednesday. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders came in a close second, but fared better in a head-to-head match-up with President Donald Trump. [Brian van der Brug/Los Angeles Times/TNS]

Former Vice President Joe Biden continues to be the top choice for president among Pennsylvania voters, a new Franklin & Marshall College Poll finds, but the race for the Democratic nomination is tightening.

At the same time, the poll released Wednesday found that nearly three-out-of-five voters in the state don’t believe President Donald Trump deserves re-election — which is actually an improvement for him in the polls.

In January, the college’s pollsters found that 57% of Pennsylvanians don’t believe Trump deserves re-election, but that’s down from 59% in October and 61% in July.

As for the Democrats, the poll still has Biden out front, but his support has slipped to 22%, down from 30% in October.

Support for Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., is also on the wane, down from 17% to 14%, putting her in third place.

Sen. Bernie Sanders, with support from 15% of the respondents, came in second, while former New York City Mayor Michael Bloomberg is now in fourth place with the support of 7% of Pennsylvania Democrats.

Bloomberg hadn’t announced his candidacy in October and did not figure in that poll.

His showing puts him ahead of Pete Buttigieg (6%), Amy Klobuchar (5%) and Andrew Yang (5%).

Competition among the top three Democratic candidates is driven by ideology. Three in four Sanders (72%) and Warren (73%) supporters identify as liberal, compared to only one in two (40%) Biden supporters.

Democrats continue to say that healthcare (20%) is the top issue they are considering in selecting a presidential candidate and that honesty (42%) is the quality they most want in a candidate.

Pennsylvania voters told pollsters they are generally satisfied with the direction of the state and their personal finances.

Half (51%) of the state’s registered voters believe the state is “headed in the right direction.” Most voters report they are “better off” (33%) or the “same” (54%) financially compared to last year and most expect to be “better off” (31%) or the “same” (53%) next year—these economic sentiments are slightly more optimistic than those captured during the October poll.

Contrasting with their feelings about their home state, fewer (38%) registered voters believe that the United States is “headed in the right direction.”

About two in five (38%) registered voters in Pennsylvania believes President Trump is doing an “excellent” or “good” job as president, which is higher than the October Franklin & Marshall College Poll.

Nearly two-thirds (67%) of the state’s registered voters say they are “very interested” in the 2020 elections; interest in the general election is already as high as it was immediately prior to the 2018 mid-term election.

This survey reflects interviews with 628 Pennsylvania registered voters, including 292 Democrats, 251 Republicans and 85 independents, conducted by the Center for Opinion Research at Franklin & Marshall College from January 20-26, 2020.

The sample error for this survey is +/- 6.2 percentage points (+/- 9.0 percent for registered Democrats).  A complete methodological statement can be found in the full report.

Opinion Polls

Voters Growing More Doubtful of Sustained Economic Rebound
Opinion Polls
Voters Growing More Doubtful of Sustained Economic Rebound
July 8, 2020
by Dan McCue

WASHINGTON - Voters have grown more pessimistic about a quick "v-shaped" economic recovery in the wake of the coronavirus outbreak, especially in the south and west where the number of new cases have spiked recently, a new poll has found. The survey released on Tuesday by... Read More

Majority Want Businesses to Offer Workers Paid Sick Time for COVID-19, Poll Finds
Opinion Polls
Majority Want Businesses to Offer Workers Paid Sick Time for COVID-19, Poll Finds
July 1, 2020
by Dan McCue

WASHINGTON - A majority of Americans said they would feel safe patronizing a business or restaurant if they knew those who worked there were guaranteed paid sick leave if they came down with COVID-19, a new poll shows. The latest Back to Normal Barometer survey conducted... Read More

87% of Americans Unhappy With State of The Country, Survey Finds
Opinion Polls
87% of Americans Unhappy With State of The Country, Survey Finds

WASHINGTON — Almost 90% of Americans say they are dissatisfied with the state of the country, and their unhappiness is affecting their political decisions four months before the presidential election, a new study from Pew Research Center shows. Only 17% of Americans of any party say... Read More

Biden Extends Wisconsin Lead to 8 Points On Eve of Trump Visit
Opinion Polls
Biden Extends Wisconsin Lead to 8 Points On Eve of Trump Visit

Joe Biden now leads President Donald Trump by 8 percentage points in Wisconsin, extending his advantage in one of the most important states on the electoral map. Trump has planned an official trip to the state on Thursday to visit the Fincantieri Marinette Marine shipyard and... Read More

Partisan Gap Could Limit US Recovery Ahead of Election
Research
Partisan Gap Could Limit US Recovery Ahead of Election

Democrats and Republicans hold starkly diverging views of the U.S. economy and the gap is widening as the pandemic persists, casting a shadow over President Donald Trump’s hopes for a V-shaped recovery powered by pent-up demand as nationwide lockdowns ease. One closely watched metric, the University... Read More

Second Michigan Poll Shows Trump Even Farther Behind, Biden Lead at 16 Points
Opinion Polls
Second Michigan Poll Shows Trump Even Farther Behind, Biden Lead at 16 Points

DETROIT — The damage done to President Donald Trump’s standing in Michigan following recent protests outside the White House and in cities across the U.S. may have been even greater than originally believed, a new poll released to the Free Press said Tuesday. Two weeks ago,... Read More

News From The Well
scroll top