Democrat McCready Holds Narrow Lead in North Carolina Special Election, New Poll Shows
WASHINGTON – Democrat Dan McCready holds a narrow lead over Republican Dan Bishop in the special election contest to represent North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District, a new poll says.
With precious little time left before the Sept. 10 election, a survey conducted by Harper Polling and Clarity Campaign Labs for the nonpartisan Inside Elections, has McCready ahead of Bishop, 46% to 42%.
Two third-party candidates garnered the support of a combined 3% of likely special election voters, while 8% said they are still undecided.
The margin of error of the survey is plus or minus 4.19%.
When voters who were leaning toward one candidate were included, McCready’s advantage increased to 49% to Bishop’s 44%.
In November 2018, McCready finished less than a point behind Republican Mark Harris, but a winner was never certified or seated in Congress because of allegations of fraud by a GOP consultant affiliated with the Harris campaign.
President Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in North Carolina the day before the election, but whether that visit will do more harm than good is very much in question.
Trump’s job approval rating in the district has plummeted since last fall. The new poll found 47% approved of the job he’s doing compared to 48% who disapproved.
Trump carried the district by 11 points in 2016.
If McCready does pull off a win, it would increase the number of seats Republicans need to gain to win back the House next year to 20.
Throughout the race, McCready portrayed himself as a moderate, rejecting calls for, among other things, Medicare for All.
Instead he’s focused on kitchen table issues like education and the high cost of prescription drugs.
“That’s a message that appeals to middle-of-the-road voters,” Morgan Jackson, a McCready strategist, told the Charlotte Observer newspaper last week.
“If you’re going to be successful you’ve got to turn out your base and you’ve got to appeal to the middle,” Jackson said.
According to the Federal Election Commission, McCready has significantly outpaced Bishop in fundraising, pulling in $5.6 million as of last week, to the Republican’s $2 million.
McCready has also outspent his opponent, 3-1, according to published reports.
The National Republican Congressional Committee has spent about $6 million on Bishop’s behalf, and the Congressional Leadership Fund, a super-PAC tied to Republican House leadership, is reportedly spending $1 million on local television spots in the last week of the contest.
The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and EDF Action, an environmental PAC, have spent $2.7 million on behalf of McCready. That total includes a $600,000 ad campaign the DCCC launched on Friday, the Charlotte Observer reported.
In The News
ATLANTA — Georgia Democrat Stacey Abrams announced on Wednesday she will again run for governor in 2022. Abrams previously sought... Read More
ATLANTA — Georgia Democrat Stacey Abrams announced on Wednesday she will again run for governor in 2022. Abrams previously sought to become Georgia’s first Black female governor in 2018 when she lost to current Gov. Brian Kemp. That election came down to the wire but Abrams... Read More
WASHINGTON — Advocates for the passage of paid family and medical leave into law are pushing the policy as a... Read More
WASHINGTON — Advocates for the passage of paid family and medical leave into law are pushing the policy as a solution to what could be a difficult 2022 midterm election for Democrats. Provisions for paid leave were included in the Build Back Better framework that passed... Read More
ATLANTA — City Council member Andre Dickens prevailed in a runoff election Tuesday and will be Altanta’s next mayor. Dickens... Read More
ATLANTA — City Council member Andre Dickens prevailed in a runoff election Tuesday and will be Altanta’s next mayor. Dickens came in second to the city council's current president, Felicia Moore, in a primary election in November that included 12 other candidates in a nonpartisan contest.... Read More
SAN ANTONIO — Although much of the state’s social and political fabric has changed since the last Texas Democrat won... Read More
SAN ANTONIO — Although much of the state’s social and political fabric has changed since the last Texas Democrat won a statewide office in 1994, the party has repeatedly failed to capitalize through its messaging on Republicans’ miscues. Now, with new opportunities on the horizon, rural... Read More
WASHINGTON — Rep. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., is free to rent the email list compiled by his principal campaign committee, Schiff... Read More
WASHINGTON — Rep. Adam Schiff, D-Calif., is free to rent the email list compiled by his principal campaign committee, Schiff for Congress, to promote his new memoir, “Midnight in Washington,” the Federal Election Commission said in an advisory opinion announced Wednesday. Random House, a division of... Read More
ATLANTA — Early voting kicked off this week for Georgia’s 2021 runoff elections, the most watched being the race to... Read More
ATLANTA — Early voting kicked off this week for Georgia’s 2021 runoff elections, the most watched being the race to finally decide who will be Atlanta’s next mayor. City Council President Felicia Moore and Council Member Andre Dickens are facing off in the mayoral runoff after... Read More