Democrat McCready Holds Narrow Lead in North Carolina Special Election, New Poll Shows

September 3, 2019 by Dan McCue

WASHINGTON – Democrat Dan McCready holds a narrow lead over Republican Dan Bishop in the special election contest to represent North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District, a new poll says.

With precious little time left before the Sept. 10 election, a survey conducted by Harper Polling and Clarity Campaign Labs for the nonpartisan Inside Elections, has McCready ahead of Bishop, 46% to 42%.

Two third-party candidates garnered the support of a combined 3% of likely special election voters, while 8% said they are still undecided.

The margin of error of the survey is plus or minus 4.19%.

When voters who were leaning toward one candidate were included, McCready’s advantage increased to 49% to Bishop’s 44%.

In November 2018, McCready finished less than a point behind Republican Mark Harris, but a winner was never certified or seated in Congress because of allegations of fraud by a GOP consultant affiliated with the Harris campaign.

President Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in North Carolina the day before the election, but whether that visit will do more harm than good is very much in question.

Trump’s job approval rating in the district has plummeted since last fall. The new poll found 47% approved of the job he’s doing compared to 48% who disapproved.

Trump carried the district by 11 points in 2016.

If McCready does pull off a win, it would increase the number of seats Republicans need to gain to win back the House next year to 20.

Throughout the race, McCready portrayed himself as a moderate, rejecting calls for, among other things, Medicare for All.

Instead he’s focused on kitchen table issues like education and the high cost of prescription drugs.

“That’s a message that appeals to middle-of-the-road voters,” Morgan Jackson, a McCready strategist, told the Charlotte Observer newspaper last week.

“If you’re going to be successful you’ve got to turn out your base and you’ve got to appeal to the middle,” Jackson said.

According to the Federal Election Commission, McCready has significantly outpaced Bishop in fundraising, pulling in $5.6 million as of last week, to the Republican’s $2 million.

McCready has also outspent his opponent, 3-1, according to published reports.

The National Republican Congressional Committee has spent about $6 million on Bishop’s behalf, and the Congressional Leadership Fund, a super-PAC tied to Republican House leadership, is reportedly spending $1 million on local television spots in the last week of the contest.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and EDF Action, an environmental PAC, have spent $2.7 million on behalf of McCready. That total includes a $600,000 ad campaign the DCCC launched on Friday, the Charlotte Observer reported.

Elections

Once More Into the Fray: Battles Brewing in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina
2020 Elections
Once More Into the Fray: Battles Brewing in Arizona, Georgia and North Carolina
January 24, 2020
by Dan McCue

WASHINGTON - The story is a familiar one if you've been reading or talking about battleground and swing states this election cycle. Thanks to a combination of Donald Trump’s razor-thin wins and Hillary Clinton's narrow losses in 2016, and the changing demographics of state electorates, a... Read More

Blue Dogs Back Legislation to Secure Voting Systems
Elections
Blue Dogs Back Legislation to Secure Voting Systems
January 24, 2020
by Dan McCue

WASHINGTON - The Blue Dog Coalition of House Democrats has endorsed H.R. 4990, the Election Technology Research Act of 2019, a bipartisan bill that will give the National Institute of Standards and Technology and the National Science Foundation new resources to enhance the security of U.S.... Read More

Gerrymandering Potential Sways State Legislative Targets
State Elections
Gerrymandering Potential Sways State Legislative Targets

National political parties are targeting a handful of competitive state legislative chambers this year, where the majority parties can draw favorable district lines — with the potential for gerrymandering — after the 2020 census. The state legislative campaign arms of both parties said wins in Florida,... Read More

New Hampshire Still Number One, Vegas Bets on Becoming a Bellwether
2020 Elections
New Hampshire Still Number One, Vegas Bets on Becoming a Bellwether
January 21, 2020
by Dan McCue

Given the massive media attention it receives every four years as home to the first-in-the-nation presidential primary, it's sometimes easy to forget that New Hampshire is also a swing state. For decades, polling has shown independent-minded New Hampshirites are nearly always evenly split on which presidential... Read More

Why the Front Lines of the 2020 Election Battle Are on Californians’ Facebook Feeds
2020 Elections
Why the Front Lines of the 2020 Election Battle Are on Californians’ Facebook Feeds

SAN JOSE, Calif. — The 2020 presidential hopefuls have bashed Facebook for its record of playing loose with user data, allowing political ads that spread lies and letting foreign actors mislead voters — and yet, they can’t get enough of the social media juggernaut. Facebook ads... Read More

Wisconsin's Reputation for Swinging Expected to Extend to 2020
2020 Elections
Wisconsin's Reputation for Swinging Expected to Extend to 2020
January 17, 2020
by Dan McCue

WASHINGTON - Even among battleground states, Wisconsin is considered special; a study in political contrasts if ever there was one. It went for Barack Obama in 2008 and 2012, flipped to Donald Trump in 2016 by the narrowest of margins -- just 0.77% -- then turned... Read More

Straight From The Well
scroll top