Democrat McCready Holds Narrow Lead in North Carolina Special Election, New Poll Shows

September 3, 2019 by Dan McCue

WASHINGTON – Democrat Dan McCready holds a narrow lead over Republican Dan Bishop in the special election contest to represent North Carolina’s 9th Congressional District, a new poll says.

With precious little time left before the Sept. 10 election, a survey conducted by Harper Polling and Clarity Campaign Labs for the nonpartisan Inside Elections, has McCready ahead of Bishop, 46% to 42%.

Two third-party candidates garnered the support of a combined 3% of likely special election voters, while 8% said they are still undecided.

The margin of error of the survey is plus or minus 4.19%.

When voters who were leaning toward one candidate were included, McCready’s advantage increased to 49% to Bishop’s 44%.

In November 2018, McCready finished less than a point behind Republican Mark Harris, but a winner was never certified or seated in Congress because of allegations of fraud by a GOP consultant affiliated with the Harris campaign.

President Donald Trump is scheduled to hold a rally in North Carolina the day before the election, but whether that visit will do more harm than good is very much in question.

Trump’s job approval rating in the district has plummeted since last fall. The new poll found 47% approved of the job he’s doing compared to 48% who disapproved.

Trump carried the district by 11 points in 2016.

If McCready does pull off a win, it would increase the number of seats Republicans need to gain to win back the House next year to 20.

Throughout the race, McCready portrayed himself as a moderate, rejecting calls for, among other things, Medicare for All.

Instead he’s focused on kitchen table issues like education and the high cost of prescription drugs.

“That’s a message that appeals to middle-of-the-road voters,” Morgan Jackson, a McCready strategist, told the Charlotte Observer newspaper last week.

“If you’re going to be successful you’ve got to turn out your base and you’ve got to appeal to the middle,” Jackson said.

According to the Federal Election Commission, McCready has significantly outpaced Bishop in fundraising, pulling in $5.6 million as of last week, to the Republican’s $2 million.

McCready has also outspent his opponent, 3-1, according to published reports.

The National Republican Congressional Committee has spent about $6 million on Bishop’s behalf, and the Congressional Leadership Fund, a super-PAC tied to Republican House leadership, is reportedly spending $1 million on local television spots in the last week of the contest.

The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee and EDF Action, an environmental PAC, have spent $2.7 million on behalf of McCready. That total includes a $600,000 ad campaign the DCCC launched on Friday, the Charlotte Observer reported.

Elections

Carolyn Maloney Prevails in Primary After Weeks of Vote Counting
Elections
Carolyn Maloney Prevails in Primary After Weeks of Vote Counting

WASHINGTON — New York Democratic Rep. Carolyn B. Maloney has won her primary after six weeks of vote counting in the 12th District. New York City Board of Elections spokeswoman Valerie Vazquez confirmed Tuesday night that the board certified Maloney as the primary winner. The board... Read More

NY Board of Elections Appeals Ruling It Must Count Absentee Ballots Without Postmarks
Voting
NY Board of Elections Appeals Ruling It Must Count Absentee Ballots Without Postmarks

NEW YORK — At least one hotly contested New York primary election is still up in the air thanks to a federal court ruling this week that readmitted thousands of mail-in ballots thrown out because of missing postmarks. The Monday night ruling from Manhattan Federal Court... Read More

‘Every Day Was Nonstop Calls’: How a Blue State Republican Became the Face of Mail Voting
2020 Elections
‘Every Day Was Nonstop Calls’: How a Blue State Republican Became the Face of Mail Voting

Kim Wyman’s phone started ringing at the end of February. As the rapid spread of the coronavirus made it clear that the 2020 election cycle would have to accommodate social distancing, reporters and election officials across the country started reaching out to Washington’s two-term secretary of... Read More

Congress Reviews Security for Upcoming Federal Election
2020 Elections
Congress Reviews Security for Upcoming Federal Election
August 4, 2020
by Tom Ramstack

WASHINGTON -- Security systems for mail-in ballots need additional funding and information technology assistance to be ready for the upcoming November election, security experts told Congress Tuesday. They warned that foreign adversaries and other hackers will try to influence the election unless they can be blocked... Read More

New Report Claims Presidential Election Legitimacy in Jeopardy
2020 Elections
New Report Claims Presidential Election Legitimacy in Jeopardy
August 3, 2020
by Reece Nations

A new report from a political reform nonprofit has outlined major risks to the nation’s democratic election process.  MapLight, a nonpartisan 501(c)(3) organization, examined the most significant risks to the 2020 presidential election in the report. Some of the issues highlighted were turnout decline due to... Read More

Poll Shows Many Younger Voters Aren’t Prepared To Vote By Mail
Opinion Polls
Poll Shows Many Younger Voters Aren’t Prepared To Vote By Mail
August 3, 2020
by Gaspard Le Dem

WASHINGTON - New polling data shows that while younger U.S. voters are increasingly interested in voting by mail, many aren’t prepared to do so in 2020. According to a survey released this week by public affairs firm Global Strategy Group, 38% of young voters say they’re... Read More

News From The Well
scroll top