Buttigieg Grabs Slight Lead in Final Iowa Caucus Poll

February 3, 2020 by Dan McCue
FILE - In this March 8, 2019, file photo, an audience member arrives at a rally for 2020 Democratic presidential candidate at the University of Iowa in Iowa City, Iowa. More than two years have passed since the first presidential announcement, nearly $1 billion spent and numerous candidates have already come and gone. And yet, the Democrats' turbulent 2020 primary season officially begins Monday, Feb. 3, 2020. (AP Photo/Charlie Neibergall, File)

Former South Bend, Ind. Mayor Pete Buttigieg held a slight lead in a last-minute poll of Iowa Democrats, released by Focus of Rural America.

In a poll conducted for the Democratic group last week by David Binder Research, Buttigieg, who has been campaigning furiously around the state while many of his electoral adversaries are stuck in Washington for the Trump impeachment trial, leads the field with 19 percent of the vote.

Sen. Bernie Sanders, I-Vt., came in second in the poll released Monday, with support from 17 percent of voters, and former Vice President Joe Biden and Sen. Elizabeth Warren, D-Mass., were tied for third at 15 percent.

The showings of Biden and Warren suggest an erosion in their support. Biden is down by 9 points since David Binder surveyed Iowa voters in early January.

Warren, meanwhile, is down three points.

Sen. Amy Klobuchar, D-Minn., garnered the support of 11 percent of the vote, just under the 15 percent viability threshold necessary to claim delegates when the votes are counted.

Businessman Tom Steyer and Rep. Tulsi Gabbard, D-Hawaii, each took just 3 percent of the vote, and no one else climbed above 1 percent.

But perhaps the finding that will be most mulled by the various campaigns in these waning hours before the causes get under way is that only 51 percent of voters in the state said they were completely certain? they’ll vote for their chosen candidate Monday night.

The Iowa caucus, the first of more than 50 contests that will unfold over the next five months, will render Democratic voter’s first verdict on who they think is best positioned to take on President Donald Trump.

A poor showing in Iowa could cause a front-runner’s fundraising to slow and support in later states to dwindle, while a strong result can give a candidate much needed momentum that propels him or her to the nomination.

The survey was conducted Jan. 28-30 by phone and by text. A total of 300 likely 2020 caucus-goers completed the survey, which has a margin of error of ±5.7%.

Opinion Polls

Poll Highlights Barriers for Trump and Biden in Final Weeks Before Election
Opinion Polls
Poll Highlights Barriers for Trump and Biden in Final Weeks Before Election

WASHINGTON — As the presidential race moves into its final seven weeks, with former Vice President Joe Biden holding a lead that remains steady but not conclusive, he and President Donald Trump face contrasting challenges, new data from a University of Southern California Dornsife poll show.... Read More

Millennials, Seniors are Spurning Trump. Why are Middle-Aged Voters Sticking with Him?
Opinion Polls
Millennials, Seniors are Spurning Trump. Why are Middle-Aged Voters Sticking with Him?

WASHINGTON — Generation Z loathes him. Millennials overwhelmingly back his opponent. And even once-supportive seniors have turned away. As his turbulent reelection bid enters its final phase, President Donald Trump has been hindered by lackluster approval from most generations of voters — with one important exception.... Read More

Biden Holds Big Lead Over Trump with Asian American Voters, Survey Says
Opinion Polls
Biden Holds Big Lead Over Trump with Asian American Voters, Survey Says

Asian American voters prefer Joe Biden to President Donald Trump by 54% to 30% for November’s presidential election, according to a survey released Tuesday by a coalition of Asian American civic engagement groups. It shows Democrats making another strong showing with one of the nation’s fastest-growing... Read More

Poll: Most Adults Wary of Taking Any Vaccine Approved Before the Election
Opinion Polls
Poll: Most Adults Wary of Taking Any Vaccine Approved Before the Election

The public is deeply skeptical about any coronavirus vaccine approved before the November election, and only 42% would be willing to get a vaccine in that scenario, according to a new poll. The results of the poll by the Kaiser Family Foundation reveal widespread concern that... Read More

Battleground States Voters Age 50 and Over Still Closely Divided on Election
Opinion Polls
Battleground States Voters Age 50 and Over Still Closely Divided on Election
September 10, 2020
by Reece Nations

Two sets of public opinion surveys commissioned by AARP across 11 key battleground states found a majority of likely voters aged 50 and older plan to cast their ballots either absentee or during the early voting period this election cycle. AARP’s poll also found similar levels... Read More

Marquette Poll Finds ‘Slight Change’ in Presidential Race Following Conventions, Kenosha Violence
Opinion Polls
Marquette Poll Finds ‘Slight Change’ in Presidential Race Following Conventions, Kenosha Violence
September 10, 2020
by Reece Nations

MILWAUKEE – Newly released polling data from the Marquette University Law School indicates that voting preferences and attitudes have changed minimally since its last survey in August. Marquette’s poll in August, conducted before unrest had been caused by shootings and protests in Kenosha, Wis., found former... Read More

News From The Well
scroll top