Ahead of Trump’s 16th Visit to Texas, Yet Another Poll Shows he Trails Biden

July 29, 2020by Todd J. Gillman, The Dallas Morning News (TNS)
From left, Texas Lt. Gov. Dan Patrick, Attorney General Ken Paxton and Gov. Greg Abbott greet President Donald Trump at Dallas Love Field on June 11, 2020. (Smiley N. Pool/Dallas Morning News/TNS)

WASHINGTON — Another day, another poll showing that Texas is up for grabs despite President Donald Trump’s bluster.

Former Vice President Joe Biden leads 47% to 45%, with only one in 20 voters still undecided, in a Morning Consult poll released Monday night.

A raft of recent polls have found a dead heat, with the candidates within a point or two, and Trump returns to Texas on Thursday for the 16th visit of his presidency – an investment of time that would be out of proportion if Texas were as safely in his column as he professes.

In Odessa, he will meet with campaign donors before heading to Midland to inspect an oil rig at Double Eagle Energy and give a speech about energy policy.

A Dallas Morning News/University of Texas at Tyler poll released July 12 showed Biden leading by 5 percentage points.

“We’re many points up in Texas,” Trump said the next day. “Fake news. Phony polls.”

A CBS/YouGov poll from the same weekend found a statistical tie, with Trump leading 46% to 45% — still far worse than any polls in the final months of the 2016 campaign.

A Quinnipiac University poll released July 22 showed Biden leading 45% to 44%. The same poll from early June had Trump leading by 1 point.

With his campaign foundering and national and battleground state polls showing an increasingly difficult path to a second term, Trump demoted campaign manager Brad Parscale this month.

The replacement, Bill Stepien, insisted Friday that Biden has no chance in Texas, a state Republicans cannot win the White House without.

“I would invite the Biden campaign to play in Texas,” Stepien told reports in a state-of-the-race briefing. “They should go after Texas really, really heavily — you know, spend a lot of money in the Houston and Dallas media markets.”

Biden started running ads in Texas about two weeks ago, a one-minute spot urging Texans to wear masks and noting that “people are frightened” as the COVID-19 pandemic rages.

At the time, the Trump campaign called the outreach to Texas a “pipe dream.”

Trump’s last visit to Texas was only last month: a June 11 campaign-style event on police and race relations at a North Dallas church.

His 9-point margin over Hillary Clinton in Texas 2016 was the worst showing by a GOP nominee for president since 1976, when President Gerald Ford lost Texas and Georgia Gov. Jimmy Carter ousted him from the White House.

Texas Democrats accused Stepien of “false bravado” belied by polls showing that “Biden is going to beat Trump in Texas.”

Morning Consult Political Intelligence surveyed about 2,600 likely voters in Texas from July 17 to July 26. The survey has a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points.

———

©2020 The Dallas Morning News

Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.

Opinion Polls

Trump Hasn’t Recovered From Tailspin Set Off by Raucous Debate Performance, Poll Shows
Opinion Polls
Trump Hasn’t Recovered From Tailspin Set Off by Raucous Debate Performance, Poll Shows

WASHINGTON — With three weeks left until election day, President Donald Trump has not recovered from the self-inflicted wounds of his first debate with Joe Biden and, instead, has sunk further behind his challenger, a new USC Dornsife poll shows. The latest data show the unusual... Read More

Democrats Aim for Senate Majority; the Polling Looks Favorable
Opinion Polls
Democrats Aim for Senate Majority; the Polling Looks Favorable

WASHINGTON — As Republicans inch closer to confirming Amy Coney Barrett to the Supreme Court, and Joe Biden enjoys a national lead over Donald Trump in the presidential race, there’s also an intense battle going on for control of Congress. The 2016 election delivered Republicans the... Read More

Survey: 80% of Small Businesses Want Economic Relief Prioritized Over SCOTUS Nomination
Opinion Polls
Survey: 80% of Small Businesses Want Economic Relief Prioritized Over SCOTUS Nomination
October 13, 2020
by Reece Nations

WASHINGTON – A national survey by the Small Business for America’s Future coalition found that roughly 8 in ten respondents identified something other than the Supreme Court nomination when asked about Congressional priorities. The survey, conducted from Oct. 2 through Oct. 5, took input from 1,511... Read More

Biden Moves Ahead of Trump in Poll of Miami-Dade’s Hispanic Voters
Political News
Biden Moves Ahead of Trump in Poll of Miami-Dade’s Hispanic Voters

MIAMI — Cuban-American voters continue to favor President Donald Trump over Joe Biden in Miami-Dade County, but more are moving toward the Democratic nominee, boosting Biden’s chances of winning battleground Florida, according to a poll by Bendixen & Amandi International and the Miami Herald. Conducted Oct.... Read More

Despite Surprise News, Polls Show a Stable Race with Trump Behind in Key States
Opinion Polls
Despite Surprise News, Polls Show a Stable Race with Trump Behind in Key States

WASHINGTON — The last few weeks have heaped surprise after surprise onto an already-contentious race for the White House: Justice Ruth Bader Ginsburg’s death, the confirmation battle over her replacement, reports that President Donald Trump paid only $750 in federal income taxes, a raucous and controversial... Read More

Poll Finds Majority of Americans Worried About Another Civil War
Opinion Polls
Poll Finds Majority of Americans Worried About Another Civil War
October 2, 2020
by Dan McCue

Sixty-one percent of Americans are worried that the U.S. could be on the verge of another Civil War, while 52% say they've already started stockpiling food and other essential in anticipation of social unrest, according to a new national poll. Among the 61% of Americans who... Read More

News From The Well
scroll top