Political Ads & Polling Round Up: October 27

October 27, 2020 by TWN Staff
Pinellas County poll worker Jeanne Coffey wears a protective shield as she worked the front door at the Coliseum Ball Room during the state's primary election, Tuesday, Aug. 18, 2020, in St. Petersburg, Fla. (Scott Keller/Tampa Bay Times via AP)

POLITICAL ADS

Herrell Puts Special Interests First 

EDF Action Votes and LCV Victory Fund launched a television ad campaign claiming politician Yvette Herrell puts special interests before New Mexico’s interests.

EDF Action Votes and LCV Victory Fund ads will start running on broadcast and cable in the Albuquerque and El Paso (Las Cruces) media markets as well as on cable in the Amarillo media market with a buy of approximately $566,000 from EDF Action Votes and $310,000 from LCV VF.

“Just two short years ago, voters rejected politician Yvette Herrell and her special interest agenda, and now they have the opportunity to do it again,” said EDF Action President Joe Bonfiglio. “It’s all too clear that New Mexico families can’t trust Herrell to stand up to the special interests.”

Big Spender Biden

According to Advertising Analytics, Joe Biden spent $45.2 million last week. He has spent $582.7 million in total in 2019-2020, officially surpassing Michael Bloomberg as the highest spending political candidate ever.

Donald Trump spent $15.3 million last week. He has spent $342 million in total in 2019-2020.

Between now and Election Day, Biden has $57.5 million reserved while RNC/Trump has $19.2 million reserved, Trump has $15 million reserved, Future Forward has $42.2 million reserved, and America First Action has $20.4 million reserved.

Take That Uniform Off

Republican Rep. Doug Collins’ campaign ads show him wearing the US Air Force uniform with no disclaimers which appears to be in violation of the Defense Department’s regulations.

According to Business Insider, at least a dozen images and videos of Collins wearing different Air Force uniforms have appeared on his Senate campaign’s social media accounts. While campaign advertisements featuring a candidate’s military service are common, several of Collins’ images appeared to violate the Defense Department’s regulations intended to protect the military’s apolitical status. Military regulations for non-active duty personnel state that a candidate’s advertisement “must clearly indicate their retired or reserve status” and include a “prominent and clearly displayed disclaimer” stating that the Defense Department does not necessarily endorse them.

Several of Collins’ advertisements failed to meet the criteria by not including the disclaimers.

POLLS

A new Economist/YouGov poll shows that Republicans and Democrats are seeing two entirely different elections, with large majorities on each side convinced that their own candidate is going to win.  

Among Democrats, 87% think Joe Biden is going to win the popular vote, including 63% who think he will win it by “a lot”. Among Republicans 65% think Donald Trump is set to pick up the most votes, including 40% who say he will win the popular vote by “a lot”. 

When it comes to the Electoral College 81% of Republicans think Trump will win the most delegates, including 54% who think he will win by “a lot”. 

Democrats, by contrast, are more circumspect. Only six in ten (62%) expect Biden to win the Electoral College, with just 34% thinking he will do so by “a lot”. 

A new CBS News/BET Poll conducted by YouGov shows Black voters are highly motivated to vote in the November election — and a strong majority (86%) intend to support Democratic nominee Joe Biden. The former vice president performs less well among younger Black voters, however. While nine in ten likely Black voters aged 65 and above plan on casting their ballot for the Democrat, this falls to 75% among likely Black voters between 18-to 29-year-olds.

A recent Quinnipiac University Poll found that overall 56% of those surveyed would like to see the Affordable Care Act remain in place while 36% would like to see it ended and 9% were not sure. There was a marked difference in the responses of Republicans and Democrats, with only 12% of Republicans opting for it to remain in place compared with 95% of Democrats. Among Independents those who wanted it to remain was at 58%.

A recent Gallup Poll found just 19% of respondents were satisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time while 80% were dissatisfied.

A new Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll on Monday showed in Wisconsin Biden holds a 9 point lead, marginally wider than his 51%-43% lead the prior week. Thirty-three percent said they had already voted. In Pennsylvania, Biden holds a 5 point lead, marginally wider than in the prior week when he was up 49%-45%, an advantage that was on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval. Twenty-one percent said they had already voted. In Florida, Biden holds a 4 point lead, considered a virtual tie. Twenty-one percent said they had already voted.

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