Political Ads & Polling Round Up: October 27
Herrell Puts Special Interests First
EDF Action Votes and LCV Victory Fund ads will start running on broadcast and cable in the Albuquerque and El Paso (Las Cruces) media markets as well as on cable in the Amarillo media market with a buy of approximately $566,000 from EDF Action Votes and $310,000 from LCV VF.
“Just two short years ago, voters rejected politician Yvette Herrell and her special interest agenda, and now they have the opportunity to do it again,” said EDF Action President Joe Bonfiglio. “It’s all too clear that New Mexico families can’t trust Herrell to stand up to the special interests.”
Big Spender Biden
According to Advertising Analytics, Joe Biden spent $45.2 million last week. He has spent $582.7 million in total in 2019-2020, officially surpassing Michael Bloomberg as the highest spending political candidate ever.
Donald Trump spent $15.3 million last week. He has spent $342 million in total in 2019-2020.
Between now and Election Day, Biden has $57.5 million reserved while RNC/Trump has $19.2 million reserved, Trump has $15 million reserved, Future Forward has $42.2 million reserved, and America First Action has $20.4 million reserved.
Take That Uniform Off
Republican Rep. Doug Collins’ campaign ads show him wearing the US Air Force uniform with no disclaimers which appears to be in violation of the Defense Department’s regulations.
According to Business Insider, at least a dozen images and videos of Collins wearing different Air Force uniforms have appeared on his Senate campaign’s social media accounts. While campaign advertisements featuring a candidate’s military service are common, several of Collins’ images appeared to violate the Defense Department’s regulations intended to protect the military’s apolitical status. Military regulations for non-active duty personnel state that a candidate’s advertisement “must clearly indicate their retired or reserve status” and include a “prominent and clearly displayed disclaimer” stating that the Defense Department does not necessarily endorse them.
Several of Collins’ advertisements failed to meet the criteria by not including the disclaimers.
A new Economist/YouGov poll shows that Republicans and Democrats are seeing two entirely different elections, with large majorities on each side convinced that their own candidate is going to win.
Among Democrats, 87% think Joe Biden is going to win the popular vote, including 63% who think he will win it by “a lot”. Among Republicans 65% think Donald Trump is set to pick up the most votes, including 40% who say he will win the popular vote by “a lot”.
When it comes to the Electoral College 81% of Republicans think Trump will win the most delegates, including 54% who think he will win by “a lot”.
Democrats, by contrast, are more circumspect. Only six in ten (62%) expect Biden to win the Electoral College, with just 34% thinking he will do so by “a lot”.
A new CBS News/BET Poll conducted by YouGov shows Black voters are highly motivated to vote in the November election — and a strong majority (86%) intend to support Democratic nominee Joe Biden. The former vice president performs less well among younger Black voters, however. While nine in ten likely Black voters aged 65 and above plan on casting their ballot for the Democrat, this falls to 75% among likely Black voters between 18-to 29-year-olds.
A recent Quinnipiac University Poll found that overall 56% of those surveyed would like to see the Affordable Care Act remain in place while 36% would like to see it ended and 9% were not sure. There was a marked difference in the responses of Republicans and Democrats, with only 12% of Republicans opting for it to remain in place compared with 95% of Democrats. Among Independents those who wanted it to remain was at 58%.
A recent Gallup Poll found just 19% of respondents were satisfied with the way things are going in the United States at this time while 80% were dissatisfied.
A new Reuters/Ipsos opinion poll on Monday showed in Wisconsin Biden holds a 9 point lead, marginally wider than his 51%-43% lead the prior week. Thirty-three percent said they had already voted. In Pennsylvania, Biden holds a 5 point lead, marginally wider than in the prior week when he was up 49%-45%, an advantage that was on the edge of the survey’s credibility interval. Twenty-one percent said they had already voted. In Florida, Biden holds a 4 point lead, considered a virtual tie. Twenty-one percent said they had already voted.
In The News
WILMINGTON, Del. - President-elect Joe Biden has selected top aides to House Majority Leader Steny Hoyer and Senate Democratic Whip Richard Durbin to serve in key roles on his White House legislative affairs team. Shuwanza Goff, who has been serving as Majority Leader Hoyer's floor director... Read More
WILMINGTON, Del. - President-elect Joe Biden unveiled several of his top national security picks on Monday, his campaign revealing he will nominate Avril Haines to be his director of national intelligence and Alejandro Mayorkas, to be his secretary of Homeland Security. In both cases, the nominations... Read More
WASHINGTON — From the moment Vice President-elect Kamala Harris walked out onto the stage in Delaware for her victory speech, more than just her words were making a political statement. Dressed in a white pantsuit from Carolina Herrera, analysts immediately began to suggest that she was... Read More
New Jersey Gov. Phil Murphy recently announced that the New Jersey Department of Transportation will be awarding $161.25 million in municipal aid grants to advance road, bridge, safety, and quality-of-life improvements. Over 540 cities and towns throughout the state will benefit from the grant funds. “These... Read More
The disinformation scenario that local election officials feared months ago has come true: President Donald Trump's false claims of voter fraud have been picked up by many state and local Republican officials across the country, and polls now show that more than two-thirds of GOP voters believe the 2020 election... Read More
Efforts to speedily develop and distribute a coronavirus vaccine in the U.S. won't be derailed by a change in administration, said the head of Operation Warp Speed, the federal government's program aimed at accelerating a COVID-19 jab. "All decisions are made, the train is running. Whether one administration... Read More