Democrats Eye Pennsylvania District That Became More Favorable Turf in 2018 Redraw
WASHINGTON — The Supreme Court’s decision last week not to stop partisan gerrymandering was a blow to congressional Democrats who were hoping several states could see more favorable maps for 2020.
But in at least one state, a new map implemented last year to redress partisan gerrymandering is giving Democrats another 2020 pickup opportunity. That map resulted from a Pennsylvania Supreme Court ruling that found the old congressional lines violated the state constitution. And Democrats are now looking to other state courts in their fight for less partisan maps.
The excitement from national Democrats about Pennsylvania’s 10th District was on full display Monday, when state Auditor General Eugene DePasquale, a Democrat, announced his candidacy against Republican incumbent Scott Perry, a member of the hard-line conservative House Freedom Caucus.
The Harrisburg-area seat wouldn’t be in play if Perry weren’t running for just the second time in a district that became less Republican under the redrawn map. Inside Elections with Nathan L. Gonzales rates the race Tilts Republican. Democrats netted three seats in Pennsylvania during the 2018 midterms under the new lines.
The Keystone State will be a top battleground for the presidential race in 2020, with President Donald Trump already having held several rallies there.
In last week’s decision, the Supreme Court said partisan gerrymandering was too political a question for the federal courts and rejected lower court rulings that the map in North Carolina needed to be redrawn. Plaintiffs are now challenging that map in state court.
“We are confident that justice will prevail in the North Carolina courts,” Bob Phillips, the executive director of Common Cause North Carolina, said in a statement after the ruling.
DePasquale has long been mentioned as a likely candidate for the 10th district. The Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee followed up his Monday announcement with targeted digital ads against Perry. The Facebook spots seize on comments Perry made during the 2019 partial government shutdown when he questioned whether federal workers were really living paycheck to paycheck.
DePasquale told CQ Roll Call on Monday that Perry’s comments were what first made him think about running for Congress.
Unlike most incumbents, Perry is running in a district that’s still relatively new to him. For his first three terms in Congress, beginning in 2012, he represented the old 4th District, which was safely Republican. But last year’s state Supreme Court decision left him in a district that included about 60% of his old territory, according to calculations from Daily Kos Elections.
Under the new lines, Perry’s district also became less Republican — and that’s a key reason why Democrats think they have a shot at unseating him. He won reelection last fall over Democrat George Scott by less than 3 points. That was a far narrower margin than his previous winning margins: 32 points in 2016, nearly 50 points in 2014 and 25 points in 2012.
Trump would still have carried Perry’s district in 2016 under the new lines, but by a smaller margin — 9 points instead of nearly 22 points, according to Daily Kos Elections calculations.
After Perry’s narrow win last fall, the DCCC put the 10th District on its initial list of 2020 targets, released in January. Scott said last week he won’t be running again this year. That leaves the Democratic field to DePasquale and lawyer Tom Brier, who announced his candidacy earlier this year and raised $100,000 in the first quarter.
DePasquale argues that he can defeat Perry because he carried the new district by 2 points during his 2016 reelection for state auditor general. He defeated Republican John Brown statewide 50% to 45%.
He carried Dauphin County, all of which is in the new 10th District, but lost Cumberland and York counties, both of which are partially in the 10th. Trump won Cumberland and York counties, according to Daily Kos Elections calculations.
“I was able to appeal to a whole bunch of people who voted for him and me,” DePasquale said, referring to the president.
DePasquale is term-limited as auditor general. He declined to say whether he’d be running if the congressional district lines hadn’t changed.
His campaign will be focused on health care — he speaks often about a brother who died from muscular dystrophy — lowering the cost of prescription drugs and investing in alternative energy solutions that will create union jobs.
Asked whether he’d like to see Democrats open an impeachment inquiry into Trump, DePasquale said the president should be held accountable but he’d like to see congressional Democrats legislate.
“There is going to be a judge and jury for the president next November,” he said.
©2019 CQ-Roll Call, Inc., All Rights Reserved
Visit CQ Roll Call at www.rollcall.com
Distributed by Tribune Content Agency, LLC.
In The News
Democrat Rita Hart threw in the towel Wednesday afternoon, giving up her bid to represent Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District, and effectively ending the 2020 election cycle. Hart, who had been challenging the outcome of the race before the Committee on House Administration, said in a brief... Read More
Dominion Voting Systems on Friday filed a $1.6 billion defamation lawsuit against Fox News, arguing the cable news company sought to boost faltering ratings by falsely claiming the voting machine company had rigged the 2020 election. The company, which is headquartered in Toronto, Canada and Denver,... Read More
MONTGOMERY, Ala. - Election systems in the Deep South in 2020 suffered from numerous shortcomings, making it harder for many voters -- particularly those from communities of color -- to safely cast their ballots, states a new analysis by the Southern Poverty Law Center. The report... Read More
WASHINGTON - The U.S. Supreme Court on Monday rejected a bid by former President Donald Trump to nullify his election loss in Wisconsin, rejecting the last remaining appeal seeking to overturn Joe Biden’s victory. In an unsigned order, the justices declined to take up Trump’s lawsuit... Read More
Former Rep. Anthony Brindisi, D-N.Y., a star among moderates in his party, has conceded to Republican challenger and former Rep. Claudia Tenney, at long last ending the 2020 election cycle. Brindisi had been expected to appeal a New York State Supreme Court order that all eight... Read More
WASHINGTON - Rep. Stephanie Murphy, D-Fla., has been named to four subcommittees that will ensure she's a leading voice on national security, the continuing federal response to COVID-19, and international trade. The Winter Park Democrat is the only Florida Democrat who currently serves on either the... Read More